Update: A Detailed Look At Expected Severe Weather Outbreak
March 14, 2025
A severe weather outbreak is expected Saturday through Saturday night. A complete breakdown of what is expected locally is below. (More graphics are at the bottom of the page. Click any graphic to enlarge.)
Tonight through early Saturday morning: We are anticipating isolated thunderstorms to develop late this evening into the overnight hours, especially for areas west. This initial round of storms is rather conditional, however, if storms do manage to develop, they will be capable of producing damaging winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes.
Saturday afternoon through Saturday night: The initial round of storms should come to an end by daybreak. In fact, we may actually have a brief dry period through the rest of the morning hours. Do not let this fool you though as scattered thunderstorms are expected to redevelop during the afternoon hours. The environment by this point will be supportive of a likely severe outbreak, consisting of strong to potentially violent long-track tornadoes, damaging to destructive winds, and large hail. This round will come in two waves: the scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon followed by a broken squall line during the evening hours. The North Escambia area is in a Moderate Risk [risk level 4/5]. Do not focus on where the high risk area is located. Our entire local area will be primed for significant severe weather so do not let your guard down . Be sure to have multiple ways to receive warnings. Storms should diminish from west to east during the overnight hours Saturday into early Sunday morning.
Non-thunderstorm winds: Outside of thunderstorms, it will be quite windy across the area. Over land, a Wind Advisory is now in effect from 10am Saturday through 12am Sunday across the entire local area. Sustained winds of around 20-25 mph, with gusts to around 40 mph can be expected. Similarly, a Gale Warning is in place for our the Gulf waters out 60nm from 10am through 7pm on Saturday. Frequent gusts to around 35-40 knots and seas building to 7-10 feet can be expected in the warned area. A Small Craft Advisory is in place for our local bays and sounds for wind gusts to around 30 knots.
Beach/coastal hazards: The increase in winds will bring dangerous surf conditions to our local area beaches. A High Risk of rip currents goes into effect tonight and will last through Monday. A High Surf Warning will be in effect from noon Saturday through 6am Sunday for large breaking waves of around 7-9 feet. At this time, we are not expecting any large-scale minor coastal flooding, however, with the gusty winds and higher surf, some splashover cannot be ruled out over some of our typical flood-prone/low-lying areas along the coast.
The detailed forecast for the North Escambia area:
Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Saturday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm, then a chance of showers between 1pm and 4pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 4pm. Some of the storms could be severe. High near 76. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1am and 4am, then a slight chance of showers after 4am. Some of the storms could be severe. Low around 57. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday: A 10 percent chance of showers before 7am. Sunny, with a high near 73. West wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night: Clear, with a low around 43. Northwest wind around 10 mph.
Monday: Sunny, with a high near 67. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday Night: Clear, with a low around 42. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 75. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50. South wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Wednesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 65.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39.
Friday: Sunny, with a high near 69.
All Escambia Schools Practices, Games And Other Activities Canceled For Saturday
March 14, 2025
Escambia County Public Schools (ECPS) in Florida has canceled all practices, games, and school-related activities, including testing, for Saturday, March 15, 2025, due to the chance of severe weather. The decision was made out of an abundance of caution and in consultation with the Escambia Emergency Operations Center
“With the safety of our students and staff in mind, and due to the potentially dangerous weather approaching our area, we are canceling all extracurricular activities on Saturday, March 15, 2025,” said Superintendent Keith Leonard. “We will continue to monitor this weather system and encourage our ECPS family to do the same.”
All schools are open and activities will continue today, March 14, and normal activities are expected to resume on Monday, March 17.
Reminder: Veterans Outreach Event Today In Davisville And April 9 In Molino
March 14, 2025
The Escambia County Veterans Services Office will host and event today in Davisville and next month in Molino to give veterans a chance to discuss benefits with an accredited veterans services officer.
Assistance is provided on a first-come, first-served basis at no charge. No appointment is required.
Meetings will be held from 9 a.m. to 2 p.m. on the following dates at community centers in North Escambia:
- Friday, March 14: Davisville Community Center, 10200 Highway 97 in Davisville
- Wednesday, April 9: Molino Community Center, 6450 Highway 95A in Molino.
Escambia County Veterans Services Office staff members will be available to help with topics including reviewing VA benefits, filing a VA claim, and reevaluating VA disability.
For more information, contact the Veterans Services Office at (850) 595-2409 or email VSO@myescambia.com. Learn more about Escambia County’s Veterans Services Office at MyEscambia.com/veterans-services.
NorthEscambia.com graphic.
Showers Today; Severe Storms Expected For Saturday
March 13, 2025
Here is the complete North Escambia area forecast:
Thursday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 76. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Thursday Night: Patchy fog after 1am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a low around 60. South wind around 5 mph.
Friday: Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 80. South wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Friday Night: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Saturday: A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Breezy, with a south wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers. Low around 57. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 72. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon.
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. North wind around 5 mph.
Monday: Sunny, with a high near 69.
Monday Night: Clear, with a low around 43.
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Controlled Burn Planned Today On Pate Street Near UWF, FPL
March 12, 2025
Today, the Florida Forest Service is planning to conduct a 70-acre prescribed burn on University of West Florida property along Pate Street, near the FPL Clean Energy Center
The burn will only be initiated under proper weather conditions including a south or southwest wind component to steer smoke toward Escambia River. Florida Forest Service firefighters will be executing the burn and will have equipment such as brush trucks and bulldozers on hand. Crews also will monitor and patrol the area keeping a close eye on any potential smoke impacts during the burn.
This burn is part of an ongoing plan and partnership between the university and Florida Forest Service to not only reduce hazardous vegetative fuels and the wildfire risk in the area but also help restore the property to its native state. Prescribed fire mimics the natural fire regime that once was part of Florida’s landscape. Local plants and animals thrive in prescribed burn areas thanks to the new growth and additional nutrients left behind post burn. Many of Florida’s native species are not only fire adapted – meaning they have learned to live with fire – but some are fire dependent and these routine, low-intensity fire is essential to their survival.
Sunny Today; Showers And Thunderstorms Thursday
March 12, 2025
Here is the complete North Escambia area forecast:
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 73. Light west wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Wednesday Night: Increasing clouds, with a low around 57. South wind around 5 mph.
Thursday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 1pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 76. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. South wind around 5 mph.
Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 79. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Low around 57. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers before 1pm. Sunny, with a high near 73.
Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43.
Monday: Sunny, with a high near 66.
Monday Night: Clear, with a low around 41.
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 73.
Sunny, Middle 70s For Your Tuesday
March 11, 2025
Here is the complete North Escambia area forecast:
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 75. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 45. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 73. Light west wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind around 5 mph.
Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. South wind around 5 mph.
Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 79. South wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. South wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 76.
Sunday Night: Clear, with a low around 48.
Monday: Sunny, with a high near 75.
Clearing For Monday, Temperatures Will Top Out In The Middle 60s
March 10, 2025
Here is the complete North Escambia area forecast:
Monday: Cloudy with a chance of drizzle, then gradual clearing, with a high near 63. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Northwest wind around 5 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 73. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 45. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 75. Light west wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. South wind around 5 mph.
Thursday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58.
Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 78.
Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Saturday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Chance Of Scattered Rain And Thunderstorms Continues Into Sunday NIght
March 9, 2025
Here is the complete North Escambia area forecast:
Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 51. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday: A 20 percent chance of showers before 10am. Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 65. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Northwest wind around 5 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 73. Calm wind becoming west around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 45. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight.
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 75. Light west wind becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. South wind around 5 mph.
Thursday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58.
Friday: Partly sunny, with a high near 78.
Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64.
Saturday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Showers, Possible Thunderstorms Saturday Night
March 8, 2025
Here is the complete North Escambia area forecast:
Tonight: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog after midnight. Low around 60. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming northeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 74. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 45. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 75. Light south wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.