Forecasters Call For Increasing Chance Of Hurricanes

July 20, 2017

Researchers at Colorado State University point to an increasing likelihood of Atlantic hurricanes in the 2017 season based on an adjusted forecast.

The July forecast predicts 15 named storms and eight hurricanes, including three “major” hurricanes with at least Category 3 winds of 111 mph. It is an increase over the June forecast from Colorado State, which projected 14 named storms and six hurricanes, including two major storms. The trend has been upward since an April forecast of 11 named storms, four hurricanes and two major storms.

The university researchers cited a weakened El Nino effect as the reason for the adjustments.

“The odds of a significant El Nino in 2017 have continued to diminish and most of the tropical and subtropical Atlantic remains anomalously warm,” the forecast said.

The chance of a major hurricane striking the U.S. this year is 62 percent. The chance of a storm striking the East Coast, including Florida, is 39 percent, and striking the Gulf Coast, including the Florida Panhandle, is 38 percent, the researchers said. There have been four named storms thus far in the 2017 hurricane season, which runs through November. The next Colorado State forecast will be in August.

Comments

2 Responses to “Forecasters Call For Increasing Chance Of Hurricanes”

  1. Biff on July 21st, 2017 7:19 am

    Just think it is funny researchers in Colorado say we can exspect this kinda got to wonder why a hurrican research place would be way out there .

  2. TeresaTipton on July 20th, 2017 10:19 pm

    After all this rain we can expect a major hurricane. In the past after heavy rain storms throughout the summer in September we have had Frederick on the 12 of 1979. And Ivan SEP 19 2004. Just be prepared for it to possibly be coming again.

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