Poll Shows Trump, Clinton Tied In Florida

September 11, 2016

Two months to the day before the presidential election, a poll released  by Quinnipiac University shows Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton tied among likely Florida voters.

Clinton and Trump both get the support of 47 percent of likely voters in a head-to-head matchup, according to the Quinnipiac poll. That is virtually unchanged from a month ago, when Clinton led Trump 46-45 — which is considered a statistical dead heat.

The two remain tied when the most prominent third-party candidates are thrown into the race, with Trump and Clinton drawing 43 percent apiece. Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson, the former governor of New Mexico, gets 8 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein was chosen by 2 percent of the people surveyed.

Those numbers are also basically the same as Quinnipiac’s August poll, though Johnson has moved up a point and Stein is down one.

The Connecticut-based Quinnipiac, which frequently conducts polls in Florida and other states, surveyed 761 likely Florida voters from Aug. 29 to Wednesday. The poll has a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points.

The university’s polling institute also released swing-state polls  showing Clinton holding modest leads in North Carolina and Pennsylvania. Trump has a one-point edge in Ohio that widens to four points when Johnson and Stein are added to the mix.

“The effect of the Republican and Democratic conventions on the presidential race has run its course,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the poll. “As the campaign enters its final stage, Florida and Ohio, two of the largest and most important swing states, are too close to call, while North Carolina and Pennsylvania give Hillary Clinton the narrowest of leads.”

The poll continues to show Floridians divided along racial, gender and party lines in the presidential race. Clinton does marginally better among Democrats than Trump does with Republicans in a head-to-head race, while independents favor Trump, 48-39. Trump, a real-estate mogul, wins men by 22 percentage points; Clinton, a former secretary of state, takes women by 20.

Meanwhile, Trump takes 59 percent of white voters, to 36 percent for Clinton. Nonwhite voters favor her by an even wider margin, with 67 percent backing Clinton and 25 percent choosing Trump.

The divide persists despite recent efforts by Trump to reach out to nonwhite voters, particularly African-Americans.

The picture for smaller slices of the electorate can change slightly with Johnson and Stein factored in — for example, Trump’s lead among independents falls to five points — but the outlines remain largely the same.

by Brandon Larrabee, The News Service of Florida

Comments

7 Responses to “Poll Shows Trump, Clinton Tied In Florida”

  1. David Schwartz on September 15th, 2016 8:54 am

    Re: choice on September: While Trump may not have the political experience he is smart enough to surround himself with people that do and can set this country on the right course.
    Hillary is just untrustworthy and can not tell the truth.

  2. Facetious Bob on September 13th, 2016 9:13 pm

    Just out of curiosity, I checked out the “up north” shirt factory being promoted by the Clinton campaign. Look at the prices of the haberdashery. Way past my budget.

  3. choice on September 13th, 2016 10:47 am

    welfare is welfare; one party gives to the poor and elderly, and the other party, doles out to the rich. There definitely should be more oversight in helping those that need it. Can’t think of any reason that the rich need it at all!

  4. Ponderosa hill on September 12th, 2016 9:30 pm

    Anne: It’ll be worse than that…..Bill is essentially going to be in charge again….he’ll just report to the media what HILLIARY says/demands and that she’s
    still not well enough yet. Kinda makes for a bad nights sleep huh ?

  5. bewildered on September 12th, 2016 12:07 pm

    It would not matter who replaces her. it is a fact (politically incorrect, however) that people who depend on the government for their upkeep will vote the democratic ticket and would elect a fence post as their president. Can’t say I blame them – who does not like a free ride through life? The problem for this country will arise when the percentage of people not supporting themselves becomes too great for the other half to handle. By the way, I am an independent and I am not thrilled with either candidate.

  6. choice on September 12th, 2016 7:56 am

    Mrs. Clinton, may not be the best candidate for the job of President, but there is nothing about Trumps background that would make any educated person believe he is anyway qualified.

  7. Anne on September 11th, 2016 4:01 pm

    Once again…..Mrs. Clinton stumbled and seemed to collapse after the 9/11/2001 ceremonies this morning.

    She’s not been seen much and her physical appearance seems to be rapidly deteriorating. If she were (God forbid) to be elected who would replace her?
    What if she made her husband the Secretary of State?

Written by William Reynolds · Filed Under News