Tropical Storm Erika Forms
September 1, 2009
Tropical Storm Erika formed Tuesday afternoon with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph.
The center of Tropical Storm Erika was located near latitude 17.2 north, longitude 57.3 west or about 390 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. Erika is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph. This general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days. On this track the center of Erika is expected to remain to the northeast of the Leeward Islands.
Some slow strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days. Forecasters currently do not believe Ericka will move into the Gulf of Mexico. However, the forecast cone for the storm is very wide, and the storm could threaten Florida in a few days. Most forecast models are predicting that the storm will miss the United States altogether.
Comments
3 Responses to “Tropical Storm Erika Forms”
I pray that the storm stays away from us.
Hey, thanks for your input! I like to get as much info as I can. I get the email updates from Crown Weather and they are good.
Lets all hope it continues making a right hand turn. Problem with this storm is the current upper level steering winds will be shifting soon. Historically, two similar storms have in fact struck our area from this position at this time of the year in the past.
Not sure why, (Maybe because it is a Cape Verde borne storm?)but this storm concerns me and it has since it was just a low rated tropical disturbance off the coast of Africa…There is another one right behind it .
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200906_climo.html#a_topad
Again, I’m just an amatuer weather guy. I look for trends,positioning and development mixed with all available computer models. So dont take anything I say as fact. The fact is, nobody can tell where this Gal is going to go yet. We all have to wait and see how she acts in relation to any existing upper level troughs,winds and shears.
I use a myriad of different websites in making my calls.
As both a resident of Florida and a First Responder, I suggest everyone should at least educate themselves on these things.
The first one is new, but a good one.
http://www.stormpulse.com
Storm pulse is easy to read and since it’s early beginnings has been almost 100% in forecasting storms in the past two seasons.
Next would be http://www.crownweather.com
Crown weather has been doing this kind of stuff for a long time. This is where the experts go. The emergency managers and government people hangout. The owner of this website basically collects all relevent data and makes good predictions. This is both a website for the novice hurricane tracker to the most seasoned educated meterologists with multiple doctorates hanging on thier walls.
That’s just two, if anyone is interested I will post more.I dont want to clutter up this fine website with links unless there is an interest.
I’ll be here everyday to check in